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Economy Remains Top Concern If ALP Wins Election

Morgan Poll Finding No. 4223 - October 12, 2007 

About one-in-four (23%, down 4%) Australian electors are concerned about Labor’s ability to manage economic issues should they win the Federal election later this year.  Eight per cent of electors are concerned about the Coalition’s management of economic issues, a special telephone Morgan Poll finds.

Concern about Labor’s economic credentials are predominantly related to “economic management / a decline in Australia’s prosperity” (19%, unchanged), however, 6% (down 3%) are also concerned that “interest rates will increase” and 1% (down 2%) are concerned about the “cost of housing” under a Labor Government.

The main concern among electors if the Coalition is re-elected is its industrial relations policy (21%, down 1%).  Interestingly, a relatively high 9% (down 3%) say they have concerns about the ALP’s industrial relations policy.

Addressing “Social issues such as health and education” is another major concern if the Coalition is re-elected (14%, up 3%), compared to 6% (up 2%) for the ALP.

Kevin Rudd’s experience in international relations seems to have given electors some confidence with only 3% (down 1%) saying they would be concerned with Labor’s foreign policy should they be successful at the election compared to 10% (down 5%) if the Coalition were re-elected.

Other major concerns if the Coalition win the election are: Handling environmental issues (10%, up 2%); Integrity / Not telling the truth (5%, unchanged); Been in power too long (5%, unchanged); and Leadership uncertainty / Party instability (5%, up 1%).

Other major concerns if the ALP win the election are: Union power (7%, down 1%); Inexperience (6%, down 2%); Handling environmental issues (5%, up 3%); and Integrity / Not telling the truth (3%, up 1%).

In total, 66% (down 1%) of electors have at least one concern if the Coalition is re-elected, marginally above that for the ALP (62%, down 1%).  Electors were able to name multiple concerns.

Twenty-six per cent (down 1%) of electors have no concerns in the ALP wins the election compared to 24% (unchanged) for the Coalition.

Gary Morgan says:

“As was the case when the Morgan Poll asked the same question in early September, economic management (23%, down 4%) is the main concern if the ALP wins the election, while the Coalition’s industrial relations policy is the main concern if the Government is re-elected, although the proportion of electors who are concerned about these issues is marginally down (21%, down 1%).  Nine per cent (down 3%) say they have concerns about the ALP’s industrial relations policy – a widening of the gap!

“With domestic issues at the forefront of political debate in recent weeks, focus has been taken off the Government’s foreign policy, including the War in Iraq, which largely explains why the number of electors concerned about the Coalition’s foreign policy has dropped 5% to 10%.  However, with the death of Australian Trooper David Pearce in Afghanistan earlier this week, the spotlight will once again be on John Howard and his decision to have Australian troops based in the Middle East.”

Full details: http://www.roymorgan.com/news/polls/2007/4223/

For further information:
Gary Morgan:    Office +61 3 9224 5213   Mobile +61 411 129 094
Michele Levine: Office +61 3 9224 5215   Mobile +61 411 129 093


   

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That explains the Liberal election ads

By: Graham Young (Registered ) on 15-10-2007 00:23

Well, what this suggests is that only the economy is strong enough as an issue to be decisive one way or the other. Unfortunately, as it's not broken down by voting intention it's hard to tell whether it's a concern for already rusted-on Liberal voters or Labor voters, or whether it effects swingers as well.

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