Analysis of September face-to-face Morgan Polls finds that support for the Coalition was 36.5% (down 2% from August), while support for the ALP was 51.5% (up 4%).
With the exception of New South Wales and South Australia, support for
the ALP was higher in the capital cities during September when compared
to their country counterparts.
In Brisbane, ALP primary support for September was a large 57%,
followed not far behind by Melbourne (54.5%). Of all the capital
cities, support for the ALP was lowest in Perth (39%).
Nationally, support for the L-NP was highest in Western Australia
Country (51%), while among metropolitan areas support for the Coalition
was highest in Perth (46%), well clear of second placed Sydney (37%).
In Brisbane, support for the L-NP was only 31.5%.
Primary support for the Greens fell 0.5% to 6.5% during September,
with support highest in Perth (11%), Melbourne (8.5%) and Tasmania
(8%).
Gary Morgan says:
“The ALP increased their already strong position during September
with primary support up 4% from August. In contrast, support for the
Coalition was down 2% to 36.5%.
“Throughout September the ALP maintained their stronghold on
Queensland – the home state of Opposition Leader Kevin Rudd – with
support in Brisbane at a very high 57%, whereas Western Australia
continued to buck the national trend with Coalition support in both
Perth (46%) and WA Country (51%) well above support for Labor.
“The vote will become closer as the National Party becomes more
‘aggressive’ in NSW, Victoria and Queensland Country, and as the Greens
become more ‘aggressive’ in Tasmania, Western Australia and the seat of
Melbourne. Similarly, in many seats independent candidates will play a
major role.”
Full Details: http://www.roymorgan.com/news/polls/2007/4231/
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